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MENA: Reinsurance market pressured by overcapacity & huge losses

Source: Middle East Insurance Review | Nov 2018

The MENA reinsurance industry is characterised by its challenging market conditions, borne out of unabating pressure on pricing, overcapacity, and a higher-than-expected number of large losses in recent years, according to a new report by A.M. Best.
 
The impact of the competitive landscape has been more keenly felt among regional reinsurers who lack the scale and diversification of their foreign counterparts, coupled with “follower” market practices that restrict their ability to dictate terms, said the report, ‘Longstanding MENA Reinsurers Demonstrate Resilience in Tough Market Conditions’. 
 
Nevertheless, larger established regional reinsurers continue to weather the storm, focusing on bottom-line profitability and portfolio optimisation.
 
“Market conditions for MENA reinsurers are extremely challenging, with pressures on underwriting compounded by economic and political uncertainties. This, in turn, increases the desire for reinsurers to seek diversification and reduce potential volatility in earnings. The long-term trends in credit quality are likely to be dependent on reinsurers’ ability to successfully execute growth strategies in a highly competitive market,” said Ms Aneela Mather-Khan, A.M. Best financial analyst.
 
Growth prospects
While there are undoubtedly challenges, the MENA region remains an attractive growth prospect, with underlying insurance market growth and low penetration rates remaining key drivers, the report added. The economic outlook for MENA countries is set to benefit from recent increases to hydrocarbon prices. The rating agency expects rises in insurance premiums to follow GDP growth over the next few years.
 
“The MENA markets still represent robust levels of insurance growth, although this is predominantly linked to mandatory healthcare. Many MENA markets, particularly non-GCC countries, are being encouraged by world-governing bodies to adopt further liberalisation, and there remains the perception that the region has a low exposure to natural catastrophe risk. These elements continue to entice reinsurers to the MENA region, despite challenging pricing conditions,” said Mr Mahesh Mistry, A.M. Best senior director, analytics. 
 
Over the medium term, the influx of reinsurance capacity is expected to maintain competitive pressures, and any movement in market dynamics would only stem from a change in attitude from the international reinsurance market, said the agency. M 
 
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